Britannia vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
DAK
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
RCA
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
BRI
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 6
BRI
35%
21%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
DAK
46%
22%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RCA
0 - 1
EST
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 1
EST
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
RIV
35%
21%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
EST
1 - 4
DAK
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
RCA
4 - 0
EST
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |