Britannia vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
RCA
0 - 1
BRI
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SVC
0 - 4
BRI
21%
19%
61%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
RIV
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
DAK
3 - 1
BRI
45%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
FAM
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 7
DAK
19%
18%
63%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
27%
21%
53%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
RIV
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EST
0 - 4
NAC
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |