Britannia vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
BRI
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 4
DAK
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
SVC
1 - 3
BRI
14%
16%
71%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 2
DAK
49%
21%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
BRI
34%
21%
45%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
DAK
7 - 0
EST
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
EST
6 - 2
BUB
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
UFC
1 - 2
EST
7%
12%
81%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
EST
0 - 3
FAM
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |