Britannia vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
RCA
2 - 3
BRI
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
FAM
2 - 0
BRI
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 2
RCA
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
BRI
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
BUB
1 - 5
BRI
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2012 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
RCA
1 - 0
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
BUB
2 - 3
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
BRI
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DAK
3 - 4
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |