Britannia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2008 |
BRI
2 - 1
RCA
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SVJ
0 - 4
BRI
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRI
21%
22%
56%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
FAM
2 - 1
BRI
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 1
RIV
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
FAM
0 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
SVE
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
RCA
1 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SVJ
0 - 3
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |