SV Blerick vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 2
CAP
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 0
CAP
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 1
IJS
36%
25%
38%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 1
HOE
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LIS
1 - 0
CAP
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |