Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Wacker Nordhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
16º
16º
36
7º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VFL
2 - 1
SVB
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SVB
2 - 2
BIS
38%
22%
41%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BUD
3 - 3
SVB
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 1
PLA
19%
18%
63%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SVB
2 - 3
FCA
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Wacker Nordhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WAC
1 - 0
LFC
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
4 - 0
WAC
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WAC
5 - 1
VFB
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
EIL
1 - 0
WAC
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 2
WAC
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |