Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs FC An der Fahner Höhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
16º
16º
41
10º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 4
SVB
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 0
EWD
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EIN
1 - 1
SVB
36%
22%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 0
WAC
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VFL
2 - 1
SVB
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC An der Fahner Höhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 2
LFC
54%
23%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SVW
1 - 1
FCA
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 3
VFB
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EIL
2 - 0
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 0
SVG
27%
24%
50%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |