Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
58.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
16º
16º
71
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVG
1 - 1
SVB
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SVB
1 - 6
FCA
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 4
SVB
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 0
EWD
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EIN
1 - 1
SVB
36%
22%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EIL
1 - 0
LFC
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SVW
2 - 2
EIL
12%
16%
72%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EIL
3 - 0
VFB
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 2
EIL
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SVG
1 - 0
EIL
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |