Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
15º
15º
38
1º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 1
SVB
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SVB
5 - 1
EIN
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
SVB
85%
10%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 1
SVB
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 1
LFC
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 2
SVG
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
BUD
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 2
RSV
43%
22%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUE
4 - 0
BUD
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 3
MAG
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |