Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
15º
15º
46
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
WIS
3 - 1
SVB
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SVB
1 - 3
VFB
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SVB
3 - 1
WAC
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 4
SVB
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RSV
2 - 0
SVB
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
BIS
3 - 0
SVG
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
4 - 1
BIS
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
BIS
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VFL
0 - 0
BIS
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
BIS
4 - 0
BUD
76%
15%
8%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |