Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
15º
15º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
6 - 1
SVB
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SVB
0 - 0
BUD
40%
21%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 1
SVB
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SVB
5 - 1
EIN
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
SVB
85%
10%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
AUE
4 - 3
SVG
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 2
AUE
21%
23%
57%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AUE
1 - 1
RSV
62%
20%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AUE
1 - 3
VFB
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
AUE
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |