Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
16º
16º
50
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 4
SVB
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
SVB
2 - 4
SVG
47%
23%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SVB
0 - 2
SCF
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 1
SVB
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
EWD
1 - 1
SVB
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AUE
3 - 0
LFC
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SVW
1 - 3
AUE
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AUE
3 - 1
VFB
17%
18%
64%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +4 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
EIL
2 - 1
AUE
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 1
SVG
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |