Bernbach vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
FSV
3 - 0
SVB
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SVB
1 - 1
VEL
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ESC
0 - 1
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SWM
2 - 1
SVB
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
SVB
1 - 1
FVB
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
WUR
0 - 5
WAL
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
VIK
0 - 2
WUR
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
WUR
3 - 2
FVB
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BUC
0 - 1
WUR
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
WUR
1 - 1
BAU
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |