Bernbach vs Bad Hersfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
SGH
1 - 0
SVB
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
SVB
0 - 1
BAU
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
KIC
0 - 4
SVB
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
SVB
1 - 4
EDE
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
BUR
6 - 1
SVB
21%
27%
53%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
LOH
4 - 1
BHE
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BHE
1 - 2
SGH
21%
23%
57%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
VIK
0 - 0
BHE
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
BHE
3 - 1
FRA
15%
21%
65%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +4 |