Aspern vs Favoriten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SCF
4 - 0
SVA
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SVA
2 - 4
GER
14%
22%
64%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SIM
3 - 2
SVA
81%
14%
6%
|
7 | 64 | 57 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SVA
1 - 4
SKS
12%
18%
70%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
KSV
3 - 0
SVA
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Favoriten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ICF
1 - 1
REN
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DON
1 - 3
ICF
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SCF
2 - 1
ICF
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ICF
4 - 1
GER
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
GER
1 - 3
ICF
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |