Aspern vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FAV
6 - 2
SVA
82%
13%
5%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 3
POS
13%
20%
67%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SVA
2 - 2
DON
13%
21%
66%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
REN
8 - 1
SVA
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SVA
1 - 5
MAN
11%
18%
72%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 6
REN
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
FOR
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 4
ICF
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SCF
4 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
5 - 2
GER
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |