FC Grimma vs SC Freital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SVG
0 - 2
EIL
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
SVG
1 - 2
CHL
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SVG
1 - 3
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
RSV
4 - 1
SVG
57%
21%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SVG
2 - 0
AUE
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
SC Freital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
SCF
0 - 2
CZJ
7%
13%
80%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
SCF
1 - 2
ZWI
11%
16%
73%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SCF
3 - 2
VFL
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
EIN
4 - 0
SCF
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SCF
3 - 1
GER
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |