Morlautern vs Mülheim-Kärlich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
5º
4º
20
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
44 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 10 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 9 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 8 |
10º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 7 |
11º
|
83% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morlautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AWA
2 - 2
MOR
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
EIS
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 1
MEC
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +4 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
0 - 0
MOR
76%
13%
10%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DAR
3 - 0
MOR
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 80 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Mülheim-Kärlich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SGM
0 - 1
DUD
18%
18%
64%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HWI
3 - 3
SGM
79%
13%
9%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SGM
1 - 6
TUS
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
SGM
0 - 2
ENG
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GON
0 - 0
SGM
86%
9%
5%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |