Morlautern vs Idar-Oberstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
18º
18º
36
8º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morlautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 1
MOR
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 4
GON
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
KOB
0 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
AWA
55%
21%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 3
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Idar-Oberstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
2 - 2
DIE
15%
16%
69%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 2
IDA
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
IDA
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
IDA
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IDA
3 - 0
STE
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |