Morlautern vs Diefflen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
52.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
18º
18º
36
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morlautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 6
MOR
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
SMA
10%
17%
73%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 2
MOR
26%
21%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 4
ENG
42%
22%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
6 - 1
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 1
AUE
64%
17%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
2 - 2
MEC
62%
19%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
DIE
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 2
VHE
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 2
DIE
41%
22%
37%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |