Morlautern vs Ahrweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-105%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
5º
4º
25
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
44 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 10 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 9 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 8 |
10º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 7 |
11º
|
83% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morlautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
SGM
0 - 6
MOR
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
AWA
41%
22%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
EIS
3 - 4
MOR
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PFE
2 - 0
MOR
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
SCK
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ahrweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ABC
0 - 4
DUD
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HWI
7 - 1
ABC
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
2 - 3
ARL
8%
13%
79%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
2 - 2
JAG
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ELV
3 - 1
ABC
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |