Sutton United vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
SUT
3 - 2
BRO
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
DAG
1 - 2
SUT
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SUT
4 - 1
WEA
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SUT
2 - 0
BOR
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SUT
0 - 1
WOK
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
WRE
4 - 1
WEA
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
WRE
0 - 0
HAR
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ALD
3 - 0
WRE
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
WRE
2 - 0
WOK
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 2
WRE
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |