FA Trophy 1/64
Global 3-3
Sutton United vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 1
SUT
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
SUT
1 - 0
DOV
23%
26%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
DAR
2 - 3
SUT
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
SUT
3 - 3
TON
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SUT
0 - 1
NOT
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 1
SUT
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
TIL
0 - 3
WIN
29%
27%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LFC
2 - 2
WIN
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 0
RED
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 0
WOR
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |