Sutton United vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HAY
0 - 1
SUT
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SUT
0 - 1
WAL
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 3
SUT
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 2
SUT
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 2
SWI
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
GUI
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
AFC
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 2
CRY
75%
15%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 2
WIG
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
AFC
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |