Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
14º
43
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 0
SUT
78%
16%
7%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 3
SUT
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SUT
2 - 2
NSM
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 1
BLA
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
SUT
1 - 1
API
12%
16%
72%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Wollongong Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 2
API
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 3
SUT
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BLA
4 - 1
WOL
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 0
MAR
33%
26%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MDT
4 - 3
WOL
34%
22%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |