Sutherland Sharks vs Penrith Nepean United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
WOL
3 - 0
SUT
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SUT
2 - 4
MAR
13%
22%
64%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BCL
1 - 1
SUT
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SUT
3 - 2
SYD
21%
27%
52%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -3 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
API
2 - 1
SUT
70%
20%
10%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 2
PNU
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
PNU
1 - 2
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SYD
1 - 6
PNU
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
PNU
19%
24%
58%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -4 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PNU
1 - 2
WOL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |