Sutherland Sharks vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BON
3 - 0
SUT
59%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 0
API
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BCL
2 - 3
SUT
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SUT
0 - 2
SOU
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BON
5 - 2
SUT
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -4 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAN
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAE
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 4
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BCL
0 - 1
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |