Súria vs Berga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Súria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SUR
1 - 0
ART
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CTR
3 - 1
SUR
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
FRU
0 - 1
SUR
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SUR
6 - 1
GIR
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 0
SUR
77%
14%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BER
2 - 2
VIL
66%
17%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ART
1 - 2
BER
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PIR
1 - 2
BER
23%
21%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
CTR
44%
23%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |