Surfers Paradise Apollo vs SWQ Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SWQ
2 - 3
SUN
29%
20%
51%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 2
SWQ
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
7 - 1
SWQ
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SWQ
2 - 0
MOR
12%
17%
72%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +4 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BRI
4 - 0
SWQ
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |