Sur vs Rud La Carlota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CDA
0 - 0
SUR
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SUR
2 - 2
BAE
21%
25%
55%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
POS
3 - 0
SUR
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAL
3 - 1
SUR
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SUR
2 - 2
CIU
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rud La Carlota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
RUD
2 - 2
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |