Sur vs Cañete Base analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAV
3 - 2
SUR
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SUR
0 - 0
UDV
44%
23%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
SUR
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SUR
2 - 3
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PRI
3 - 4
SUR
63%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cañete Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 1
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
5 - 0
CAN
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LAS
2 - 1
CAN
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
CDA
28%
24%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |