SK Super Nova vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
77.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
SUP
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
4%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 0
VAL
13%
21%
67%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
4%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUD
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 4
VAL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |