SK Super Nova vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
4º
1º
30
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 4
SUP
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 1
SUP
14%
20%
67%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 2
SUP
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 0
SUP
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 1
SUP
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
OUD
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
KFV
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
SMI
28%
20%
52%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 2
PRA
17%
18%
65%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 3
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |