SK Super Nova vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
9º
7º
21
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 67% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 2
SUP
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 2
SUP
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 2
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
FSM
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 2
LIE
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FKT
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKT
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |