SK Super Nova vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
76.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
7%
18%
75%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 3
FSM
21%
22%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
SUP
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 2
SUP
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIE
7 - 0
FKB
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 32 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
BFC
73%
18%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
LIE
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |