SK Super Nova vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
9º
7º
27
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
39.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKT
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 2
SUP
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 2
SUP
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
FKJ
3 - 1
AUD
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 2
RIG
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 0
GRO
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FKT
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |