SK Super Nova vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
4%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 1
SUP
25%
20%
55%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 5
FKJ
75%
18%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 0
FKT
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
FKJ
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |