SK Super Nova vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
9º
7º
58
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 2
SUP
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 2
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 1
SUP
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
GRO
46%
24%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
SUP
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
0 - 1
CAR
44%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
GRO
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 3
CAR
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 5
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |