SK Super Nova vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
18%
75.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
17.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
88
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 3
FSM
21%
22%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
SUP
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 2
SUP
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 0
SUP
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 5
FKT
17%
19%
64%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
KTE
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
BFC
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
KTE
2 - 1
CAR
32%
24%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 6
CAR
19%
25%
57%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 0
CAR
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |