SK Super Nova vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
63.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
58
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
SUP
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 6
RIG
6%
16%
78%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
SUP
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
SUP
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
FSM
4 - 1
SUP
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
BFC
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 2
AUD
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 1
FSM
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
AUD
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |