Sunshine George Cross vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunshine George Cross
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
SGC
1 - 1
SOU
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SGC
0 - 0
WHZ
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SGC
2 - 1
MEL
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PLI
0 - 1
SGC
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SGC
2 - 2
ALM
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2009 |
RIC
2 - 3
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
OAK
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
HUM
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 2
HEU
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 2
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |