Sunshine George Cross vs Essendon Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunshine George Cross
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
SGC
0 - 2
SOU
31%
27%
43%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SGC
1 - 1
RIC
82%
13%
6%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SGC
0 - 0
WES
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
KIN
0 - 1
SGC
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
SGC
0 - 1
PLI
41%
27%
33%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
WES
3 - 2
ESR
79%
15%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
ESR
2 - 2
KIN
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
PLI
2 - 0
ESR
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
ESR
1 - 0
WHZ
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 2
ESR
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |