Sunray Cave vs Nancheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunray Cave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2004 |
BIU
3 - 0
SUN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
XIA
1 - 1
SUN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
SUN
0 - 0
FUK
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
SUN
3 - 1
FIR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
HVA
3 - 1
SUN
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nancheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2004 |
FUK
1 - 2
NAN
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
HVA
1 - 1
NAN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
NAN
1 - 3
SHS
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
KFC
4 - 0
NAN
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
NAN
3 - 0
SCA
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |