Sunderland vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
SUN
2 - 4
HUR
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DER
1 - 1
SUN
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
STO
3 - 1
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SUN
2 - 1
CRY
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 4
SUN
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
OXF
1 - 3
REA
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
REA
1 - 2
COV
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
REA
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WHU
1 - 0
REA
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
WIM
0 - 3
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |