Sunderland vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
SUN
1 - 0
STO
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1998 |
SUN
3 - 0
LUT
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
SHE
0 - 4
SUN
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
SUN
2 - 3
BAR
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
POR
0 - 2
SUN
18%
26%
57%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
QPR
3 - 2
POR
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
POR
2 - 2
TRA
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
OXF
2 - 1
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
POR
0 - 2
SUN
18%
26%
57%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
STO
4 - 2
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |