Sunderland vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
SUN
4 - 1
WBA
59%
21%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
WBA
4 - 0
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
NEW
0 - 1
OLD
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 0
CHL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
OLD
0 - 3
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
CHL
1 - 0
OLD
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |