Sunderland vs Middlesbrough analysis

Sunderland Middlesbrough
80 ELO 82
0.8% Tilt -4.1%
670º General ELO ranking 633º
28º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
34.2%
Sunderland
25.1%
Draw
40.7%
Middlesbrough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
Sunderland
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.7%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sunderland
-5%
-3%
Middlesbrough

Points and table prediction

Sunderland
Their league position
Middlesbrough
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
64
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leeds United
100
100
0%
Burnley
100
100
0%
Sheffield United
90
92
100%
Sunderland
76
76
100%
Coventry City
69
69
100%
Bristol City
68
68
100%
Blackburn Rovers
66
66
100%
Millwall
66
66
100%
Middlesbrough
10º
64
64
0%
West Bromwich Albion
64
64
10º
0%
Swansea City
11º
61
61
11º
100%
Sheffield Wednesday
12º
58
58
12º
100%
Norwich City
13º
57
57
13º
100%
Watford
14º
57
57
14º
100%
Queens Park Rangers
15º
56
56
15º
100%
Portsmouth
16º
54
54
16º
100%
Oxford United
17º
53
53
17º
100%
Stoke City
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Derby County
19º
50
50
19º
100%
Preston North End
20º
50
50
20º
100%
Hull City
21º
49
49
21º
0%
Luton Town
22º
49
49
22º
0%
Plymouth Argyle
23º
46
46
23º
100%
Cardiff City
24º
44
44
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sunderland
Middlesbrough
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sunderland
Middlesbrough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2024
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
3 - 2
Sunderland
SUN
37%
27%
37%
80 74 6 0
31 Aug. 2024
OPA
Portsmouth
1 - 3
Sunderland
SUN
47%
26%
27%
79 78 1 +1
24 Aug. 2024
SUN
Sunderland
1 - 0
Burnley
BUR
28%
25%
47%
78 87 9 +1
18 Aug. 2024
SUN
Sunderland
4 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
44%
26%
30%
77 78 1 +1
13 Aug. 2024
PNE
Preston North End
2 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
43%
25%
32%
78 75 3 -1

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2024
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
56%
25%
19%
82 76 6 0
31 Aug. 2024
CAR
Cardiff City
0 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
21%
24%
56%
82 71 11 0
27 Aug. 2024
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 5
Stoke City
STO
58%
23%
19%
83 76 7 -1
24 Aug. 2024
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
Portsmouth
OPA
54%
25%
22%
83 78 5 0
17 Aug. 2024
DER
Derby County
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
25%
24%
50%
83 77 6 0