FA Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Sunderland vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SUN
2 - 0
SWA
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CHL
1 - 0
SUN
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
POS
0 - 2
SUN
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
WIG
1 - 4
SUN
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAC
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COV
3 - 1
MID
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MID
0 - 2
BUR
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MID
1 - 0
STF
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BPO
3 - 0
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MID
1 - 1
POS
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |