Sunderland vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
GRI
1 - 1
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1959 |
SUN
3 - 1
BRI
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1959 |
CHA
3 - 2
SUN
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
SUN
1 - 0
HUR
61%
20%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1959 |
DER
2 - 0
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
MID
6 - 2
SWA
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1959 |
FUL
3 - 2
MID
68%
17%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
MID
1 - 0
GRI
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1959 |
MID
1 - 2
LIN
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
SCU
0 - 3
MID
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |